Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1153.293819 1316.312218 1500.080394 1723.750694 1990.194289 2299.371704 2688.111397
2025-06-01 906.359600 1115.792947 1375.541764 1726.103854 2194.227994 2808.565834 3694.186542
2025-06-08 773.830180 997.269685 1291.145975 1714.662112 2324.279602 3194.383682 4577.238577
2025-06-15 696.084725 931.469714 1256.539771 1751.897331 2513.160116 3684.772984 5723.612324
2025-06-22 610.878380 840.877639 1170.480284 1694.865866 2543.431465 3931.427142 6536.493724
2025-06-29 545.441269 769.139483 1100.080793 1646.798344 2573.040541 4174.188210 7398.734101
2025-07-06 489.784345 704.964741 1032.092419 1590.437503 2575.360057 4364.448020 8208.612640
2025-07-13 467.573403 688.710745 1035.429151 1649.803526 2785.805232 4974.506818 10064.081693
2025-07-20 440.342076 661.406337 1017.249212 1668.529276 2923.550064 5472.394626 11846.369641
2025-07-27 419.822056 642.615118 1010.533286 1705.701411 3101.691215 6092.957210 14163.800641
2025-08-03 399.949331 622.831371 999.628487 1732.901938 3263.620990 6716.345167 16755.538614
2025-08-10 387.305465 613.916332 1006.417844 1794.193123 3507.688221 7593.061027 20501.146780
2025-08-17 368.603688 593.911844 993.048143 1817.708451 3683.081304 8376.675797 24492.739663
2025-08-24 347.624114 568.284865 967.106153 1812.882565 3795.519237 9039.773597 28535.709251
2025-08-31 328.139615 543.577642 940.188272 1801.825805 3890.321551 9684.051200 32967.652179
2025-09-07 316.306642 531.806573 936.836986 1841.252384 4119.483886 10802.508048 40312.535529
2025-09-14 294.739476 500.205998 891.481933 1780.639048 4076.837483 11064.053110 43943.221733
2025-09-21 276.120491 472.866941 852.337459 1729.550214 4051.045159 11378.174628 48167.725363
2025-09-28 258.238571 445.748402 811.455204 1669.679300 3990.795048 11561.148294 51904.718915
2025-10-05 253.396519 443.480288 821.539730 1732.743893 4294.877762 13165.520500 66025.763841
2025-10-12 244.932315 433.453998 814.378229 1752.643190 4476.782706 14393.435696 79529.943727
2025-10-19 238.658798 427.324025 814.965555 1792.154481 4729.150075 16026.648840 98946.643365
2025-10-26 231.893535 419.706666 811.604816 1821.074665 4955.619503 17668.570586 121916.126879